Bank Indonesia Banking Survey Q3 2026: Q4 New Lending Up, Reserve Ratio 7%

The Bank Indonesia banking survey Q3 2026 released on 22 October 2026 (press release No.28/234/DKom) shows the weighted net balance (SBT) for new lending in Q4 2026 forecast at 91.31%, up from 90.08% in Q3 and 88.92% in Q4 2025. Respondents expect outstanding loans at end-2026 to grow 8.20% yoy (ANTARA, quoting BI). The day before, the 20-21 October 2026 Board of Governors meeting kept the BI-Rate at 5.75% and cut the reserve requirement cut to 7 percent Indonesia for conventional commercial banks in stages (8% from 1 November, 7% from 1 December 2026). The new lending forecast Q4 2026 Indonesia is not a growth rate but a net balance from a survey of bank respondents. The impact on building materials below is homeX analysis, not data.
Banking Survey Q3 2026 and the October board decision: key figures
| Indicator | Figure | Comparison | Source | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New lending SBT, Q4 2026 forecast | 91,31% | Q3 2026: 90.08%; Q4 2025: 88.92% | BI press release, 22 Oct 2026 | Bank Indonesia |
| Lending Standard Index (ILS) | 0.15 (Q4 2026 forecast) | Q3 2026: 0.28; a lower value means looser standards | BI press release, 22 Oct 2026 | Bank Indonesia |
| Outstanding loans end-2026 (respondent forecast, yoy) | 8,20% | Previous survey: 7.51%; 2025 actual: 9.69% | ANTARA, 22 Oct 2026 (quoting BI) | ANTARA |
| Third-party funds SBT (ytd to Q4 2026) | 89,76% | Previous quarter: 87.52%; Q4 2025: 93.97% | ANTARA, 22 Oct 2026 (quoting BI) | ANTARA |
| BI-Rate; Lending Facility; Deposit Facility | 5.75%; 6.50%; 5.00% | BI-Rate and Lending Facility unchanged; Deposit Facility up 25 bps | BI, board meeting 20-21 Oct 2026, press release 21 Oct | Bank Indonesia |
| Reserve requirement, conventional commercial banks (average) | 9% to 8% (1 Nov 2026) then 7% (1 Dec 2026) | Total cut of 2 percentage points | BI press release, 21 Oct 2026 | Bank Indonesia |
| Reserve requirement, Islamic banks (BUS and UUS) | 7.5% to 6.5% (1 Nov 2026) then 5.5% (1 Dec 2026) | Total cut of 2 percentage points | BI press release, 21 Oct 2026 | Bank Indonesia |
| KLM and reserve requirement remuneration | KLM 6% to 5%; remuneration up to 5% of average Rupiah reserve requirement (both from 1 Dec 2026) | Adjustment to the macroprudential liquidity incentive policy | BI press release, 21 Oct 2026 | Bank Indonesia |
Sources: BI press releases No.28/234/DKom (22 Oct 2026) and No.28/233/DKom (21 Oct 2026), and ANTARA 22 Oct 2026 16:34 WIB (the 8.20% outstanding loans, third-party funds and last year comparisons come from ANTARA quoting BI, not from the press release we read), read on 23 October 2026. SBT is a weighted net balance from a survey of bank respondents, not credit growth; the 8.20% forecast is also not an actual outcome and is not comparable with actual credit growth data from OJK or BI. We did not read the survey annexes, so sector data (construction, mortgages) is not available in this article. The reserve requirement cut is an average and phased; BI does not state its effect on lending rates. The "meaning for building materials" part is homeX analysis, not data or a forecast.
What it may mean for building materials and projects (homeX analysis, not data)
homeX analysis, not data: looser credit standards (ILS 0.28 to 0.15) and a lower reserve requirement can add bank liquidity, which in theory could support construction loans and mortgages. However BI does not state the effect on lending rates, the survey only notes priorities of working capital, investment and consumer loans without sector detail, and the BI-Rate stays at 5.75%. For material purchase decisions, store prices and contracts remain the more direct benchmark; see our articles on construction credit, the BI-Rate and subsidised mortgages for more specific data.
How to read SBT and ILS
SBT (weighted net balance) measures the direction of bank responses: a higher value means more banks expect an increase; 91.31% does not mean loans grow 91%. ILS shows lending standards; BI says a lower ILS means looser standards, and ANTARA writes it is still in the tight zone. The valid comparison is only across periods of the same survey.
Buyer tips
- Read the BI press release itself before using survey figures.
- Distinguish SBT (a survey balance) from actual credit growth.
- Do not infer material prices from a single banking survey.
- Watch the next BI releases for comparison.
Request a Bank Indonesia banking survey Q3 2026 quote for your project
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Disclaimer: prices change without notice and differ by store, city, pack size, grade and promotion. Data as of 23 October 2026; always confirm with the seller before buying.
FAQ
What are the results of the Banking Survey Q3 2026? BI forecasts new lending in Q4 2026 to increase: SBT 91.31% (Q3 2026: 90.08%). ILS falls from 0.28 to 0.15, meaning looser standards. Released 22 Oct 2026.
What is the bank reserve requirement after the October 2026 meeting? Conventional commercial banks fall from 9% to 8% (1 Nov 2026) then 7% (1 Dec 2026); Islamic banks from 7.5% to 6.5% then 5.5%. Average figures, per BI.
Does this mean building material prices will fall? No. The survey and reserve requirement concern credit and bank liquidity; BI does not mention building material prices. Any link is homeX analysis, not a price forecast.
Bank Indonesia banking survey Q3 2026: related articles and products
Related articles:
- Construction credit August 2026 up 49.5%
- BI-Rate 5.75% and LTV 100% until 2027
- FLPP subsidised mortgage 2026: 52.67% realised
- Rupiah and building material prices October 2026
- Construction sector growth 2026 and inflation
Related products at homeX:
Price sources (checked 23 October 2026): Bank Indonesia — BI press release No.28/234/DKom: Banking Survey Q3 2026 (22 Oct 2026); Bank Indonesia — BI press release No.28/233/DKom: October 2026 board meeting (21 Oct 2026); ANTARA — BI survey: new lending forecast to rise in Q4 2026 (ANTARA, 22 Oct 2026).