Cement Sales Outlook 2027: Indocement Sees 2–3% Growth on Government Projects

The cement sales outlook 2027 from PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk is cautious: the national cement industry is expected to grow 2–3% next year. Indocement director Antonius Marcos gave the figure at the Citeureup plant in Bogor on 11 November 2026, after domestic cement demand grew roughly 7.8–7.9% through September 2026. Government projects are the main support, while Zero ODOL, energy costs and labour costs are the risks.

Key Facts

• Indocement expects national cement industry growth of about 2–3% in 2027, based on talks with the industry association and ministry data (2026-11-11, source: Suara.com, 12 Nov 2026).
• Domestic cement consumption in January–September 2026 reached 48.1 million tonnes, up 7.9% year on year (2026-10-23, source: Kontan Insight, 23 Oct 2026).
• Indocement cement and clinker sales to September 2026 were 15.75 million tonnes (+9.0%): 15.09 million domestic and 660,000 tonnes exported (2026-11-04, source: Indocement: results to September 2026).
• Indocement says it has been invited to pitch for the Giant Sea Wall project and is targeting the Cibeet Dam near its facilities (2026-11-11, source: RMOL, 11 Nov 2026).
• Three 2027 challenges named by Indocement: Zero ODOL from January 2027, rising energy costs and the new Labour Protection Law (2026-11-11, source: VOI, 11 Nov 2026).

Cement sales outlook 2027: the figure and its basis

According to Antonius Marcos, the 2–3% estimate comes from discussions with the cement industry association and from ministry data. He added that some sources see growth of 4–5%, but Indocement chose not to set a target that high in order to allow for unexpected developments. The 2–3% figure is therefore best read as a conservative scenario from one large producer, not an official association forecast.

The outlook is well below the pace of 2026. Kontan reported domestic consumption of 48.1 million tonnes in January–September 2026, up 7.9%. Indocement’s own results release also put domestic demand growth at 7.9% through September, with bulk cement up 9.3% and bagged cement up 7.4%, helped by dry weather that sped up construction. In the 11 November interview, Marcos cited 7.8%, based on Indonesian Cement Association data. The small gap reflects different data references and rounding.

Government projects expected to support demand

Indocement says government programmes made a fairly significant contribution in 2026. It named the construction of Merah Putih village cooperatives (Kopdes), schools and kitchens for the free nutritious meals programme (MBG). For 2027 the company is counting on the same programmes, plus the 3 Million Homes Programme, hospitals and health facilities, and continued work on the new capital IKN, although that work has slowed.

Beyond building programmes, Indocement is exploring large infrastructure jobs. Marcos said the company has been invited to pitch for the Giant Sea Wall project. It is also targeting the Cibeet Dam, which is close to Indocement’s facilities and involves large volumes; he said discussions have reached the land acquisition stage. Continued construction of the Getaci toll road (Gedebage–Tasikmalaya–Cilacap) was also mentioned. All of these depend on the projects actually going ahead.

Three cost pressures buyers should prepare for

The first is Zero ODOL, the ban on over-dimension and overloaded trucks targeted to take effect in January 2027. Indocement expects it to raise distribution costs because cement relies heavily on road transport. The second is energy, where the company sees higher costs in 2027 as hard to avoid. The third is the new Labour Protection Law, in force from October 2026, which it says may raise labour costs.

Indocement’s results release also warned that the rainy season could slow construction and cement demand in the coming months. Marcos said he hoped customers would be able to absorb possible cost increases.

What it means for contractors, shops and homeowners

For buyers, demand that is still growing combined with higher distribution costs means cement prices in 2027 should be watched from the start of the year. Contractors preparing bills of quantities for 2027 projects should leave room for changes in delivery costs, especially for sites outside the big cities. Building material shops may want to adjust stock patterns ahead of January 2027, when Zero ODOL enforcement begins.

homeX tracks sales data and policies like these to help customers plan purchases of cement and other building materials, including staged deliveries that follow the order of work on site.

cement sales outlook 2027: related articles and products

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• homeX building materials catalog

FAQ

What is Indocement’s cement sales outlook for 2027? Indocement expects the national cement industry to grow about 2–3% in 2027. It said some sources see 4–5%, but chose a more conservative target.

Which projects are expected to absorb cement in 2027? Indocement named village cooperatives, schools, MBG kitchens, the 3 Million Homes Programme, hospitals, IKN, the Giant Sea Wall, Cibeet Dam and the Getaci toll road.

Could cement prices rise in 2027? Indocement pointed to three cost pressures: Zero ODOL from January 2027, energy costs and labour costs under the new law. No official price change has been announced; watch supplier price lists.

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Sources: Suara.com, 12 Nov 2026; RMOL, 11 Nov 2026; VOI, 11 Nov 2026; Indocement: results to September 2026; Kontan Insight, 23 Oct 2026